Republicans in a Dead Heat
After briefly passing Giuliani for the lead, the market has turned it's back on McCain who is now fourth out of the four significant Republican candidates (was it the Guatemalan comment?).
Giuliani is back in the lead but precariously so garnering only 26 cents on a $1 contract. Romney and Thompson are in a dead heat, both at about 23.5 cents, and McCain is now bringing up the rear at about 18 cents.
The Democratic race is boring. Mrs. Clinton continues to be way ahead of the only serious contender. I'm sorry, but I just spent a weekend with a friend of mine from Kansas. He is not prejudiced, but speaking for his neighbors, Mr. Obama is not going to win the Kansas primary. We've come a long way, but in my opinion Mr. Obama has about as much chance of winning the primary (much less the general) as I do.
So for entertainment purposes, it is all about the Republican primary.
13 Comments:
McCain is not in free fall because of a single thing he did, but because he's a terrible Republican. I have yet to meet a registered Republican who says he or she will vote for him. I think you're a bit premature to write Obama off, although like Oakland, there's no there there as far as I'm concerned. I couldn't care less about his race, whatever it is.
By Roger Fraley, at 1:24 AM
I'm kind of hoping for Romney. Out of all the candidates (declared so far), he's the only one I can stomach from either primary. Don't know whether I'd vote for him or not, there's still far too many unknowns as per his positions and platforms as far as I'm concerned. I can hope that his choice of faiths would keep him honest, but his choice of careers makes that seem unlikely.
But if these are my choices, and no semi-viable third-party candidates comes to the fore, he seems like my most likely choice.
Then again, I'm not a Republican, thus I doubt my opinions will have much sway over the Republican primaries. Still, being a Wisconsin voter I don't have to be a Republican to vote in the primary. I just have to remember what date the vote is being held on and show up.
By Anonymous, at 3:52 AM
Roger,
I tend to agree with you, but there was that moment when he not only closed the gap, but took the lead. Then the Guatemala comment came out and he went into free-fall.
As far as Obama is concerned, you and I and most of our friends (presumably) couldn't care less about his race. He doesn't poll very well, however, with whites lacking a college degree. I believe America today, for better or worse, is the same one I grew up in.
Stephanie,
Welcome back to blue status! My Uncle is a big Romney fan and believes he will be the next president. I don't. However, I don't question his honesty as much as the others, I must admit.
By Praguetwin, at 9:46 AM
PT,
"Welcome back to blue status!"
Blue? Blue as in Democrat? Not that, certainly not that. While I lean strongly towards the Republicans, I have never been a Republican. I vote independent. I've voted both sides of the fence, and prefer third-party candidates or independents when suitable candidates are available. Unfortunately they're usually as out-of-touch as the party favorites. Other than Democrats, I am at a loss as to what "blue" might reference.
"I don't."
I don't either. As much as I believe that Romney's faith shouldn't matter any more than Obama's ethnicity/skin color, far too few people actually embrace that in their hearts.
(DISCLAIMER: I belong to the LDS church, same as Romney, and therefore Romney's faith not mattering to me is something of a given.)
"However, I don't question his honesty as much as the others, I must admit."
And, for me, that's the question. From what I've seen, his presentation is good. However, I'm not willing to buy it hook, line and sinker.
Besides, I'm trying not to get too involved in this early rush for the presidency. Far too exhausting! Luckily, we're waiting a bit at VOID before we jump into the fray full-throttle.
By Anonymous, at 11:52 AM
The blue reference was due to your name being printed in blue, not your political leanings.
I agree that Romney's religion should be no more and issue that Obama's skin color. Unfortunately both seem to matter.... a lot.
By Praguetwin, at 2:25 PM
PT,
"The blue reference was due to your name being printed in blue, not your political leanings."
Oh, but that assumption would have been too obvious!
I decided to put VOID's site up there. It's not "mine," but it still seems appropriate.
"Unfortunately both seem to matter.... a lot."
From what I've seen/heard people holding skin color against Obama are holding it pretty close to the vest, which makes it more difficult to quash. On the up-side, if you can call it that, after Sharpton's ill-favored comment he agreed to meet with official from the LDS church to actually learn about the beliefs of the "Mormons" he was spouting off about. Maybe it'll change his tune a bit.
And, for the record, I have read Sharpton's rebuttal of the criticism. However, his response just proves that he does not understand the LDS faith at all.
By Anonymous, at 5:23 AM
Sharpton doesn't understand a lot.
By Praguetwin, at 7:16 AM
Personally, I cannot even begin to imagine why anyone would consider voting Republican. The entire Republican party should be charged with conspiricy to suppress votes with the RICO act. It has come out in recent testimony on Attorneygate that the GOP had an operation going to do just that, with African American soldiers. They sent letters out to the homes of black soldiers and when they came back, they were struck off the rolls. OF COURSE THEY CAME BACK, the soldiers were in Iraq. And this was not the only vote suppression operation. Some of the attorneys were fired because they wouldn't cooperate with efforts to suppress votes and go after Democrats on flimsy evidence just before an election. The 2000 presidential election is another case in point. The GOP paid Republican Hill staffers to go to Miami and stage a riot to stop the votes from being counted. This fascist tactic worked, and helped put Bush into the White House.
Add to that the fact that the Republican pary is the party of union busting, the Southern (read: racist) Strategy, tax cuts for the rich, oppostion to a decent national health insurance policy, denial of science (global warming and stem cell research), bigotry against gays, an attempt to wipe out Social Security and six years of attacks on the United States Constitution, including the Patriot Act and elimination of habeas corpus.
The cherry topping on this delightful parfati, of course is the Iraq war and occupation. The Republican party is the Party of Death.
The Dems are not perfect and they frustrate me too often, especially recently with the war funding vote, but they aint Republicans. And that is saying a lot.
By NEWSGUY, at 8:53 AM
PT,
"Sharpton doesn't understand a lot."
Too true.
Newsguy,
I could come up with a similar list for Democrats and the Democratic party. Different sore spots, same garbage.
That's why I vote for people, not parties. And in Wisconsin, Democrats are the ruling party with all the garbage that goes with it.
If I cared anything for politics as usual, I wouldn't be devoting my time as secretary of an anti-incumbent political action organization.
By Anonymous, at 10:42 AM
Newsguy,
I'm going to agree more or less with Stephanie on this one. Although I share your disdain of the Republican party, there are still good Republicans, and my disdain for the Democrats is nearly as strong... and growing.
You really don't want to get into a Republican vs. Democrat argument when it comes to voter fraud. They both do it.
I do share your frustration in general. I believe, though, it is our folly to believe that the Democrats can save us from the Republicans.
We need to start thinking outside the box.
By Praguetwin, at 12:51 PM
The problem with Obama is his politics and lack of experience. I don't even know whether he goes to the Senate any more and it would be nice for Illinois to have more than one Senator. He does, however, have powerful Illinois friends and allies with heavy political talent, so while I would like to count him out, I am not so sure I can.
By Publia, at 9:18 PM
I hear you Publia. I just don't think he has a chance. Just my humble opinion.
By Praguetwin, at 9:23 AM
Publia,
I'm not fond of Obama for my own reasons, however it's getting to the point where I'm starting to see "lack of experience" as a good thing. Lack of experience seems more and more like lack of corruption to me, at least in regards to politics.
By Anonymous, at 12:45 PM
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